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- Legendarni građanin
- Pridružio: 13 Jan 2012
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Napisano: 21 Feb 2025 16:50
po oveme tekstu, ruski pregovaraci su totalno razbili u razgovorima ljude koje je tramp poslao u arabiju.
posto nisu imali cime da se pohvale u pregovorima, krenulo se po pljuvacini po eu i zelenskom, da se njihov neuspeh svali na evropljane.
After winning the election, two different approaches to negotiating with Putin emerged within Trump's inner circle. However, Keith Kellogg, who advocated for a longer process and sought leverage over Russia, was completely sidelined from Kremlin contacts in the last week. Instead, the advocates of a rapid negotiation blitz, without Europe and Ukraine’s involvement, gained the upper hand. Meanwhile, those insisting on effective measures to deter Moscow became the primary targets of Trump’s political attacks.
Trump’s signature hardline negotiation strategy is based on presenting a substantial threat followed by an enticing offer. However, in Riyadh, Trump’s negotiators effectively skipped the first stage and moved straight to the second – without gaining any leverage. As a result, they were forced to lay a series of concessions on the table, addressing almost every point of Putin’s ultimatum, without securing a single public commitment in return.
Experts point out that Trump, despite his reputation as a strong negotiator, has a long track record of failures. The most glaring examples include the deal with the Taliban, which led to the US collapse in Afghanistan, and the completely failed nuclear negotiations with Kim Jong-un. Trump’s latest diplomatic blitz resembles both the Korean and Afghan scenarios simultaneously.
Having gained nothing from Moscow, the Trump administration has already managed to alienate Europe and attack President Zelensky. Moreover, it has effectively revised the US foreign policy strategy that had remained unchanged for 80 years, abandoning the principles of bipartisan consensus and indivisible Euro-Atlantic security. Instead, the new administration prioritises partisan and ideological considerations, focusing its attacks not on geopolitical rivals but on domestic opponents in America and Europe.
A parade of amateurs
Trump has cultivated a reputation as a tough negotiator – an image he himself appears to believe in more than anyone else. He does have one notable success to his name: the Abraham Accords between Israel and several Arab nations. However, even this agreement remains incomplete and largely unimplemented. In contrast, Trump’s record of diplomatic failures is significantly longer, writes Middle East expert Mikhail Korostikov in Carnegie Politika. The most striking of these examples were, first, negotiations with the Taliban behind the backs of the US military and the pro-American Afghan government, which ultimately led to the chaotic withdrawal of US forces at the start of Biden’s presidency And second, negotiations with Kim Jong-un over North Korea's nuclear programme.
Korostikov notes that Trump’s approach to North Korea bears a striking resemblance to his current blitz diplomacy with Moscow. Back then, Trump first bombarded Pyongyang with verbal threats, then placed faith in vague North Korean promises of concessions, and ultimately sought to entice Kim Jong-un with gestures of goodwill and high-profile bilateral summits. However, after extracting political benefits from his meetings with Trump and basking in the cascade of diplomatic niceties, the North Korean leader resumed nuclear tests and expanded his weapons programme. Trump has a bold willingness to take on seemingly intractable conflicts, but his enthusiasm has a critical flaw – his reluctance to engage with details and his tendency to quickly lose interest when a quick fix proves elusive, writes Korostikov. His Kremlin blitz is dangerously reminiscent of both the North Korean and Afghan scenarios.
Brett Bruen, a former foreign policy advisor in the Obama administration, described the negotiations in Riyadh as a 'moment of amateur hour' for the US national security apparatus in an interview with Reuters. Representing Moscow were Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Putin’s foreign policy aide Yuri Ushakov – two veterans who have collectively held their positions for over 30 years. Across the table, however, sat US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, and Special Representative Steve Witkoff, all of whom had been in their roles for less than a month. The American delegation lacked experience in high-level international negotiations, had no regional expertise on Ukraine and Russia, and simply did not possess the necessary knowledge, echoes Yale professor and Russia-Ukraine expert Timothy Snyder.
Russia has won a complete victory in the first round, the Kremlin has secured the normalisation of bilateral diplomatic relations that excludes Ukraine and NATO, and sacrificed nothing in return, Democrat Jake Okincloss, who co-chairs the House Ukraine Caucus, told Reuters.
tekst je dugacak, ali ga preporucujem za citanje:
[Link mogu videti samo ulogovani korisnici]
Dopuna: 22 Feb 2025 11:43
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